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PROCESS
Revenue
Growth – because margins cannot
expand forever, we seek companies that are in vibrantly growing
businesses. Earnings
Growth – because earnings drive stock
prices over time, we seek companies with sustainable, superior rates of
earnings per share growth. After all, P/E ratios cannot expand forever, so
if stock prices are to rise, earnings must grow. Earnings
Stability – because investors hate
surprises, predictability matters. One measure of reliability is the
stability of a company’s earnings around its trend line. Profitability – because profits fund future growth and represent the
return to shareholders, the level and trend of a company’s profitability
is a key indicator to us of its leadership position in its industry. Balance
sheet strength – because we are investing
in the future growth of a company, we need to ascertain whether its
balance sheet will support the rates of growth we are projecting. Companies
that pass our fundamental hurdle become candidates for our Quality analysis.
While
character may not be able to be measured in a strictly scientific sense,
it can be observed, evaluated and assessed.
When we assess an organization, we are concerned with both who they
are (Character) and what they do (Competencies). We are interested in companies
whose relative strength in Character and Competencies will likely lead to
their success over the competition. Large,
modern corporations are complex, dynamic systems, and thus vulnerable to
imbalances leading to instability. As
long-term investors, we are interested in companies who can dynamically
balance the often opposing yet equally important forces constantly at work
within an organization. We use
all available sources of information (annual reports, press releases,
analyst reports, conferences, articles, management meetings, the Internet)
to assess a company’s corporate culture, building a “map” using a
proprietary methodology. Based
upon the Leadership Diamond™, a conceptual model of Greatness created by
philosopher Peter Koestenbaum, the assessment
tools and methodologies have been developed, refined and put into practice
with many major corporations around the world over the past decade. We search for either the “seeds
of greatness” or the “seeds of destruction” buried within a company,
leading us either to buy or avoid the stock. Once a
company has passed both the hurdles set by our fundamental
and quality analyses, we analyze the stock’s appreciation potential. Because
the standards set by the first two steps of our investment process are so
stringent, we end up focusing our efforts on a very select group of
companies, and over time we have developed an understanding of where their
stocks tend to trade relative to their peers and their own history. Since the
stock market is a giant discounting mechanism, bringing a stream of future
earnings back to the present and assigning a value to it, it is vitally
important how quickly those earnings are growing. Thus, the relationship
between the Price/Earnings ratio and the long-term earnings Growth rate,
often called the PEG ratio, is the key measure we use for most of our
stocks to determine their relative attractiveness at any particular moment
in time. If a
stock passes all three of our stock-picking screens – fundamental,
quality, valuation – it becomes a candidate for inclusion in the Diamond
Portfolio. The Diamond Portfolio strives for greatness,
growth and balance. Thus far,
our stock-picking screens have kept us focused on stocks exhibiting
potential for long-term growth, industry leadership and price
appreciation. Our portfolio construction disciplines are intended to
preserve balance in the portfolio, helping it to resist the shocks that
are inherent to equity investing. The
Diamond Portfolio attempts to remain both highly focused in stocks that we
believe exhibit superior potential and broadly diversified to limit
over-exposure to any one sector of the market. Thus, the Diamond Portfolio
typically is invested in 30 stocks diversified across 6 broad economic
sectors: Technology, Healthcare, Services, Consumer, Regulated and
Industrial. The
Diamond Portfolio attempts to remain fully invested at all times in order
to optimize long-term growth and to avoid unintended market-timing errors,
a large source of underperformance for many investment managers. The
Leadership Diamond®
is a registered trademark of Peter Koestenbaum, Ph.D.
2008,
Diamond Portfolio Advisors, LLC. |